The phase change
Production has collapsed. Judgment is the new bottleneck.
For most of my career, the hard part was making the thing: writing it, designing it, shipping it. I spent over a decade getting better at that. Then in about eighteen months, the constraint disappeared. What's left is the question that used to come last in a project: should this exist at all? That used to be a bonus skill for senior people. Now it's everyone's full-time job.
The strange part is how fast the muscle most of us built stopped mattering. We're all still adjusting.